538 electoral votes calculator download

The electoral vote map, therefore is a list of all 50 states in addition to washington d. A 2020 presidential election map based on the consensus of the most respected. Fivethirtyeight is forecasting the presidential election with three models. Former president barack obama was unable to seek reelection for a third term according to the twentysecond amendment to the united states constitution, which states that a president may only serve up to two terms. When you adjust the vote and turnout above, our model recalculates the results for each state as well as the electoral college outcome and the national. On the 45th president and the 48th vice president of the united states. Explain the role of the electoral college in electing the.

Calculates electoral vote results for any election year 1840 2004 and produces results map. Red denotes states won by nixonagnew, blue denotes the one state and the one district won by mcgovernshriver, gold is the electoral vote for hospersnathan by a virginia faithless elector. See using the delegate calculator for more detailed instructions. Additional forecasts will be added as they become available. For purposes of this map, only states rated safe by all of these forecasters are shown in the darkest shade. Click states on this interactive map to create your own 2020 election forecast. December 14, 2020meeting of electors the electors in each state meet to select the president and vice president of the united states.

Download our free app to get more political odds and betting analysis. Create a specific matchup by clicking the party andor names near the electoral vote counter. Run whatif scenarios to see how a race might have turned out. Understanding the electoral college best states us news. What would it take to flip states in the 2016 election. Create your own forecast for the 2020 presidential election. Official 2016 presidential general election results general election date. Estimating partisan bias of the electoral college under. Electoral maps derived from fivethirtyeight forecasts. The electoral college is how we refer to the process by which the united states elects the president, even though that term does not appear in. The electoral college has 538 electors, and each state has the same number of electors as it has members in congress house of representatives and senate. They are effective for the 2012, 2016, and 2020 presidential elections. List of united states presidential elections by electoral.

The electoral college is a body of electors established by the united states constitution, which forms every four years for the sole purpose of electing the president and vice president of the united states. Adjust the turnout and twoparty vote to simulate 2016 presidential election scenarios. In each of these approaches, statelevel winning probabilities are assigned to the candidates with each update of the forecast. Start by downloading the free template by clicking the link below. Presidential election calculator lite application center. Determining state preferences for the electoral college. But sometimes they dont the electoral college will vote monday for the next president. The 2016 election for the president of the united states took place on tuesday, november 8, 2016. Democrats won the house national popular vote by about 8.

Thats a tall order, but now theres a tool to figure out who would win with the right combination of states, right on your phone or tablet. Americas electoral map is changing fivethirtyeight. Conduct a simulated 2016 presidential election in just 15 seconds. We then adjusted the size of those groups based on four years of population change. We started with the results of the 2012 election and the support for each partys candidate by the five demographic groups. Keeping this number in mind, the electoral vote calculator is used to predict the point totals through each states assumed. You can download all the maps that you create as an image to your gallery with. Americas electoral map is changing see for yourself in these five charts. Using a electoral vote calculator government programs. Electoral college calculator includes a state profile feature that lets you view. November 3, 2020election day the voters in each state choose electors to serve in the electoral college. Each state has a certain number of electorsdetermined by population size out of the total 538 who vote at.

The electoral college consists of 538 electors, and an absolute majority of at. The electoral college website now has an easytoremember address. The rust belt elevated trump, but its electoral power is dwindling. One such thing that may not make obvious sense is why there are 538 electors. Using current statelevel polls, this mock presidential election simulator will project one possible outcome of the 2016 election. Nate silvers fivethirtyeight uses statistical analysis hard numbers to tell compelling stories about elections, politics, sports, science, economics and lifestyle. This number is decided by the number senators and house representatives for that state. Electoral college calculator is a simple android app that lets you generate an electoral map with up to three candidates. The electors almost always align with the popular vote. If you prefer, you can also use the 2016 electoral map or the 2018 midterm election vote as the starting point for your own electoral forecast. According to article ii, section 1, clause 2 of the. Electoral college vote calculator and map generator. Lawrence lessig says the current electoral system is unconstitutional and hes suing to change it. Use the buttons below the map to share your forecast.